Amid the broader cryptocurrency market sell-off, the Ethereum price has also come under some selling pressure and is currently trading 2.02% down at $2,421 with a market cap of $291 billion.
Ethereum Price Remains In the Key Demand Zone
In a recent market update, prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez sheds light on the current state of Ethereum ($ETH). The second-largest cryptocurrency is positioned within a crucial demand zone, fluctuating between $2,388 and $2,460. According to Martinez, the strength of this support level will determine Ethereum’s trajectory in the near term, with a favorable scenario suggesting a clear path for upward movement due to minimal resistance.
However, Martinez issues a cautionary note, indicating a potential downside if Ethereum fails to maintain the mentioned support. In such a scenario, there’s a likely pullback to the next significant support area, estimated to be around $2,000. Traders and investors closely monitor these key levels as Ethereum navigates the current market conditions.
Key ETH Developments
On the other hand, the Ethereum Dencun upgrade is likely to go live on the Sepolia testnet by January 30, with the corresponding upgrade on the Holesky testnet slated for activation on February 7. A comprehensive update on client releases for both upgrades will be consolidated and communicated through a blog post scheduled for January 23, providing stakeholders with detailed insights into the activation process for the respective tenets.
There is a level of optimism in the market regarding the potential approval of a spot Ethereum (ETH) exchange-traded fund (ETF) by May 23 this year, aligning with the SEC deadline for the Ark 21Shares application. However, JPMorgan (JPM) suggests that the likelihood of the SEC approving the ETF by May is estimated to be no more than 50%.
Since the rise of the Bitcoin (BTC) ETF narrative in the market last year, attention has shifted to Ethereum as the next plausible candidate for spot ETF approval in the United States. This sentiment is reflected in the discount to net asset value (NAV) for the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE), which, according to JPMorgan, has been contracting since the summer and maintaining around 12% over the past two months.
JPMorgan notes that some argue the SEC’s decision not to reference ETH in its lawsuit against crypto exchanges for securities law violations could imply the regulator is leaning toward classifying the cryptocurrency as a commodity in the coming months—a crucial condition for spot ETF approval. Others contend that the approval of ether futures-based ETFs in September last year inherently suggests that ether is considered a commodity.