Cryptocurrency Turmoil, Uncertainty About Interest Rates Push Gold Prices Above $2,000

6 views 10:11 pm 0 Comments November 21, 2023

Key Takeaways

  • Gold prices have reached their highest level since May as investors seek refuge in the safe-haven asset.
  • The turmoil in cryptocurrency exchanges is pushing investors toward gold.
  • Despite recent signs that the Federal Reserve might be done raising interest rates, investor confidence wavered with releasing the minutes from the last meeting, making gold more attractive.

Turmoil in the always volatile cryptocurrency world may push some investors to abandon “digital gold” for the real stuff.

The price of gold broke the $2,000 per ounce mark Tuesday afternoon, according to prices tracked by online precious metals retailer JM Bullion. At its high of $2,007.25, it was the highest price since May.

Warning signs of faltering consumer spending from retailers’ earnings reports in the morning and criminal charges against a prominent figure in the cryptocurrency business helped drive up interest in gold, which is often viewed as a “haven” asset, said Collin Plume, CEO of Noble Gold, a precious metals investing firm.

“There’s some gloom in the market and crypto industry today,” Plume said in an email. “Like always, investors run to that one asset they can count on, gold.”

Bitcoin prices fell Tuesday after Changpeng Zhao, founder of Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, pleaded guilty to federal money laundering charges in a deal that involved the company paying $4.3 billion in fines.

The price of gold has also been propped up lately by market uncertainty about whether the Federal Reserve would raise its benchmark interest rate again to fight inflation, said Joe Cavatoni, chief market strategist for the World Gold Council. That’s spurred central banks worldwide to buy gold, with the third quarter of 2023 seeing the second-highest gold purchases on record for any third quarter, according to the council’s data.

“Throughout 2023, we have seen the price of gold supported by global demand, particularly from central banks due to gold’s haven status as markets awaited more clarity on the direction interest rates are likely to head in 2024,” Cavatoni said in an email.

Last week, traders had entirely written off the idea of another Fed rate hike, with the odds of one taking place in the next few months priced at zero percent, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, which forecasts rate hikes based on Fed futures trading data. 

The rate hike probability at the Fed’s next meeting in December bounced back to 5% Tuesday afternoon as markets digested the newly released minutes from the Fed’s latest meeting in November. 

The minutes showed that Federal Reserve officials believe monetary policy may need to remain restrictive to bring down inflation. However, data released since the last meeting has shown that interest rates are having the intended effect on the economy.