Bitcoin Price is Halfway to $100k, What’s Next?

33 views 6:33 am 0 Comments February 13, 2024

Bitcoin enthusiasts and investors have a reason to celebrate as the world’s largest cryptocurrency surged past the $50,000 mark for the first time in over two years. Bitcoin’s impressive rally this year has seen a 13% increase, hitting highs not witnessed since December 2021. Over the past week alone, Bitcoin Price surged by 17%, indicating a robust bullish trend. Despite this climb, it remains about 28% below its all-time high of nearly $69,000 reached in November 2021, according to CoinMarketCap.

Bitcoin (BTC) Market Performance Chart
Bitcoin (BTC) Market Performance Chart

Crypto Stocks Riding the Wave

The rally extends beyond Bitcoin itself, with crypto-related stocks also enjoying a boost. Notable among these are Coinbase, a prominent crypto exchange, witnessing a 4.9% increase. Riot Platforms’ stock (RIOT) finished 9.4% higher at $15.92, and Marathon Digital Holdings’ shares (MARA) ended 14.2% higher at $27.28. Additionally, Ebang International Holdings’ shares (EBON) rose by 7.9% to $11.11. Meanwhile, the price of Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency, climbed by 4.12% to reach $2,607.57. Shares of software firm MicroStrategy, known for its significant Bitcoin holdings, concluded the day up 11% at $717.52. 

Bitcoin ETFs on the Rise

Among spot bitcoin ETFs, several notable names saw significant gains on Monday, as reported by Dow Jones Market Data. Spot Bitcoin ETFs,  notably Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) saw a rise of 5.6%, closing at $44.86. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) also ended the day up 5.6% at $28.66. Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) gained 5.7%, closing at $44.02. Additionally, ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) finished the day up 5.7% at $50.31.

Bitcoin futures ETFs also witnessed gains during the trading session. ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) gained 5.7%, closing at $23.82, while Valkyrie Bitcoin and Ether Strategy ETF (BTF) rose by 5.6% to reach $15.61.

Why Did Bitcoin Rally?

The recent surge in Bitcoin price can be attributed to a surge in spot-market demand, as highlighted by Sean Farrell, head of digital-asset strategy at Fundstrat. This increased demand has led to a significant spike in the cryptocurrency’s trading volume. A significant amount of this trading activity is probably flowing into the market through spot ETFs, attracted by the positive price movements seen over the weekend. This suggests that investor interest in Bitcoin has been particularly strong, with spot ETFs playing a key role in driving up demand.

Moreover, the approval of the first U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs by the U.S. securities regulator on January 10 marked a significant milestone for the cryptocurrency industry. This approval, after more than a decade of efforts, has opened up new avenues for investment in Bitcoin and has contributed to the recent rally.

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, the largest spot bitcoin ETF, has been slowing down. This indicates a shift in investor sentiment towards Bitcoin ETFs, with demand for rival bitcoin ETFs remaining robust.

In light of geopolitical uncertainty, some investors are turning to Bitcoin as a potential safe haven, according to insights from industry experts notably Mark Connors and Thomas Perfumo. They note that global geopolitical challenges often prompt movement of capital towards high-quality, store-of-value assets like Bitcoin.

Overall, these factors have converged to drive the recent rally in Bitcoin’s price, signaling renewed optimism and confidence among investors in the cryptocurrency market.

What’s Next for Bitcoin?

As Bitcoin continues its upward trajectory, analysts and experts are speculating on what lies ahead for the cryptocurrency. Mark Connors has set his sights on a range of $60,000 to $65,000 for Bitcoin’s next milestone. Looking further ahead, he predicts that Bitcoin could reach up to $160,000 by the end of 2024 and an impressive $350,000 by the second half of 2025.

There is anticipation of Bitcoin’s market capitalization to surpass $1 trillion this week, with the crypto’s market cap hovering around $977 billion on Monday.

The approval of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs marks a significant milestone for the cryptocurrency industry. Analysts estimate that flows into these new ETFs could gradually surpass $10 billion, with potential inflows ranging from $50 billion to $100 billion this year alone. 

Investors are eagerly anticipating Bitcoin’s next halving event scheduled for April, a process designed to slow the release of new Bitcoin into circulation. This event has historically sparked rallies in Bitcoin’s price, with the cryptocurrency rallying after the previous three halvings.

While many analysts expect the bull run to continue, James Van Straten, a research and data analyst, warns of a possible correction. Despite short-term risks, long-term indicators suggest a positive outlook for Bitcoin. Glassnode, a crypto analysis platform, notes signs indicating that Bitcoin could be in the initial stages of a bull market.

Technical analysis indicates that Bitcoin’s breakout above the January 11 high of $48,970 on February 12 signals the start of the next trend of the uptrend. A close above $48,970 sets the stage for a potential rally to $52,000 and beyond. Conversely, a downturn below $48,970 increases the risk of a fall to $44,700.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView